Luck comes to town
IMOLA NOV 1
Valtteri Bottas remains within a single win of catching Kimi Raikkonen and nailing his place in the top forty F1 drivers of all time despite another second place on Sunday.
His battle throughout 2020 has been with US World Champion Phil Hill. Canadian world champion Jacques Villeneuve is next up the road.
With nine wins from his 152 starts he is in position 43 on the Sports Annual table. His career win rate is 17.333 starts per win and he scores a handsome 2.698 (adjusted) points per race.
The battle with Phil Hill is tight. While Hill has a better win rate than Bottas ... Hill scored only 2.1 points per race across his career.
The race with Villeneuve is also tight but one more win for Bottas this season will see him pass Villeneuve, Revson, Ickx and Kimi Raikkonen and break into the top 40.
Beyond that ... the road gets steeper but Bottas has a tremendous point scoring record. None of the 54 drivers ranked below him scores more on average. Of the drivers ahead ... well that 2.6 - 2.7 is a number shared with drivers like Niki Lauda, Fernando Alonso, Nigel Mansell and Mika Hakkinen. The difference is wins. Hakkinen scored 20 wins from 161 GP ... an average of just over 8 starts per win. Points wont do it for Bottas.
He needs luck to stay with him or play no part. We wish him well.
Finland has for years punched well above its weight producing race winners and world champions. Below is how Finnish winners' careers stack up under the Sports Annual microscope.
16. Mika Hakkinen. 8.050 rpw / 2.608 ppr
Unsurprisingly the highest ranked Finn is Mika Hakkinen.
The leading pack is split in two on this grid. Mika is at the front of the second group. Ahead of Mika is a big gap to Niki Lauda ... who brings up the rear of the first group. Described by Schumacher as his fiercest competitor, the only active drivers ahead of Mika are Sebastian Vettel and Lewis Hamilton. The remaining current drivers are far off.
" ," Mr Hakkinen said.
15th. Niki Lauda ......... 6.840 rpw / 2.608 ppr
16th. Mika Hakkinen ... 8.050 rpw / 2.608 ppr
17th. Nelson Piquet ..... 8.869 rpw / 2.495 ppr
40. Kimi Raikkonen.15.714 rpw / 2.315ppr
There is a saying about middle aged men and feet of clay. Well here when a driver starts and wins as often as Kimi the feet turn to lead. With 21 wins from 329 starts ... if he won a race it would alter his numbers by a miniscule 0.188 per race. A driver with good wins from 200 starts will find it hard to move far. Kimi is set in stone. His point scoring is way above his station here. He won more place or off win points than anyone in F1 history. When it comes to paying garage wage bills he is one of the best there is.
39. Peter Revson ... 15.000 rpw / 2.344 ppr
40. Kimi Raikkonen ... 15.523 rpw / 2.343 ppr
41. Jacques Villeneuve 14.818 rpw/ 1.349 ppr
51. Keke Rosberg. 22.800 rpw / 1.456 ppr
If Mike Tyson were a race car driver he would probably drive like Keke Rosberg. Short by modern standards his career remains probably one of the most intense of Finland's racers. While not the master craftsman his son became ... if there was a "list of the most feared sights in F1 history then Keke Roseberg in your mirrors would have to rank pretty high on it." He leads Ricciardo, Leclerc and Gasly comfortably with none in cars expected to win.
50. Rene Arnoux ... 21.285 rpw / 1.275 ppr
51. Keke Rosberg .. 22.800 rpw / 1.456 ppr
52. Didier Pironi ... 23.333 rpw / 1.485 ppr
93. Heikki Kovalainen. 112 rpw / .500 ppr
Kovalainen's win lets us examine the way Sports Annual's formula penalises single race winners. With each start the tally grows until you reach Jarno Trulli who started 253 Grand Prix for his single win. But a 2nd win halves the win rate. In Kovalainen's case a second win would have pushed him 12 places up the road. A third would have taken him another 10. And so on. Some groups of drivers are tightly packed and big jumps can and do happen.
92. Jochen Mass .......... 105 rpw / 0.742 ppr
93. Heikki Kovalainen ... 112 rpw / 0.500 ppr
94. Olivier Panis ........... 158 rpw / 0.430 ppr